Evaluation of Forecast Hub for German and Polish state-level COVID-19 forecasts
[Updated Feb 21st, 2021]
The following shows the mean absolute error of forecasts produced by various teams for Germany and Poland and their states and voivodeships, respectively.
The forecasting teams submit their forecasts to https://github.com/KITmetricslab/covid19-forecast-hub-de
These forecasts can be visualized at https://kitmetricslab.github.io/forecasthub/forecast
All the errors used below are derived from the files at: https://github.com/KITmetricslab/covid19-forecast-hub-de/tree/master/evaluation
Errors for Poland Voivodeship death forecasts
Jump to: Poland voivodeships death forecasts; Poland voivodeships case forecasts; Germany states death forecasts; Germany states case forecasts; Poland+Germany country-level death forecasts; Poland+Germany country-level case forecasts;
Errors for Poland voivodeship case forecasts
Jump to: Poland voivodeships death forecasts; Poland voivodeships case forecasts; Germany states death forecasts; Germany states case forecasts; Poland+Germany country-level death forecasts; Poland+Germany country-level case forecasts;
Errors for Germany states death forecasts
Jump to: Poland voivodeships death forecasts; Poland voivodeships case forecasts; Germany states death forecasts; Germany states case forecasts; Poland+Germany country-level death forecasts; Poland+Germany country-level case forecasts;
Errors for Germany states case forecasts
Jump to: Poland voivodeships death forecasts; Poland voivodeships case forecasts; Germany states death forecasts; Germany states case forecasts; Poland+Germany country-level death forecasts; Poland+Germany country-level case forecasts;
Errors for country-level death forecasts
Jump to: Poland voivodeships death forecasts; Poland voivodeships case forecasts; Germany states death forecasts; Germany states case forecasts; Poland+Germany country-level death forecasts; Poland+Germany country-level case forecasts;
Errors for country-level case forecasts
Jump to: Poland voivodeships death forecasts; Poland voivodeships case forecasts; Germany states death forecasts; Germany states case forecasts; Poland+Germany country-level death forecasts; Poland+Germany country-level case forecasts;
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